[MLB] 06/18/24 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview and Prediction Picks


Boston Red Sox (38-35) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (35-37)

Game InfoJune 18, 2024, 7:07 pm EDT (Rogers Centre)

Starting Pitchers: Chris Bassitt (6-6) (3.56) vs Tanner Houck (7-5) (2.08)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox face off this Tuesday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s my betting preview & prediction for the Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox baseball game.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox, holding a 38-35 record this season, are coming off wins against the Phillies and Yankees. They have amassed 24 runs in their last three games and have scored four or more runs in five of their last six outings. The Red Sox have won six consecutive games when scoring more than one run. Jarren Duran is leading the team with 83 hits and 31 RBIs, while Rafael Devers and Connor Wong have collectively contributed 126 hits and 63 RBIs.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays, with a 35-37 record this year, have secured victories against the Brewers and Guardians. The team has scored 15 runs in their last three games and managed four or more runs in five of their last nine games. The Blue Jays have won five consecutive games when scoring four or more runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 78 hits and 30 RBIs, while Bo Bichette and Isiah Kiner-Falefa have together recorded 119 hits and 56 RBIs.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

  • Tanner Houck will pitch for the Boston Red Sox. He boasts a 7-5 record with a 2.08 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Houck has conceded 11 hits and 5 runs over his last 13 innings. He has a 1.66 ERA and a .173 opponent batting average in 38 road innings. 
  • In his career against the Blue Jays, Houck is 0-1 with a 4.58 ERA and 23 strikeouts.
  • Chris Bassitt will take the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays. He has a 6-6 record with a 3.56 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. Bassitt has given up 17 hits and 4 runs in his last 18 innings. 
  • His home ERA is 4.12 with a .267 opponent batting average in 39.1 innings. Against the Red Sox, Bassitt is 2-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career.

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays +101 / Boston Red Sox 120; Over/Under: +8

Why the Boston Red Sox Will Win

  • The Red Sox have triumphed in each of their last seven games against the Blue Jays following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have lost their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have not covered the run line in their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in their last seven games against the Blue Jays following a win.
  • The Red Sox have led after three innings in each of their last three games.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox (-120)

The Boston Red Sox are currently playing some of their finest baseball this season, showing great momentum and energy. As underdogs, the Red Sox present a valuable bet as long as their winning streak continues. On the other hand, the Toronto Blue Jays have been underperforming, and there's a compelling case that Tanner Houck has outperformed Chris Bassitt this season. Houck has also delivered his best performances on the road. Therefore, I'll back the Red Sox with the plus money, following the same strategy as last night.